The GameMaster's Blackjack School
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Index Lesson 16:
To Split or Not To Split
The primary factor to consider when
splitting pairs is whether or not your casino of choice allows
doubling after splitting (DAS). If DAS is allowed, you must
have the proper basic strategy memorized. I see players make
a lot of errors in splitting pairs, primarily with a hand of
8, 8. Most know that a pair of 8s should be split against all
up cards, but most stand when they hold them against a dealer's
10. The cost of that mistake isn't huge, simply because a hand
of 8,8 is fairly rare. But by standing, a player has an expectation
of -.537% and by splitting (if DAS is allowed), an expectation
of -.483% is realized. So, the extra money which is put to risk
does -- in the long run -- give a better return. Think of it
this way. Would you rather stand with a 16 against a 10 or hit
an 8 against a 10? By splitting, you get to hit an 8. Incidentally,
the numbers also indicate that splitting is best when DAS isn't
allowed, though there isn't as big a difference.
As the true count goes up, you'll split
more and as it goes down, you'll split less. One play which
is justified by a high count is the splitting of 10s. For example,
there may come a time when it's worthwhile to split a pair of
face cards against a 6. I counsel my students to avoid that
play since it draws such a negative reaction from other players
at the table. I don't really care what the others at a table
think of my play, but if the floor personnel are alerted to
what I've done, their initial suspicion may be that I'm a counter.
If they've seen me playing good basic strategy and suddenly
I have a big bet out and I do something like splitting 10s against
a 6, they're going to think I'm either very stupid or very smart.
I guess it all relates to the image your projecting in the casino;
if it's one of a 'wild man', then go for it. But if you're quiet,
polite and a non-drinker, I'd advise against making the play.
All other splitting situations should
be followed to the letter; especially that of splitting 4s against
a 5 or 6 (if DAS is allowed). Most people don't have the pairs
part of basic strategy memorized perfectly, so they won't know
what's right or wrong when you do it and most think it's wrong
to split 4s. Nothing quite like making the right play and looking
like a dummy when you do it!
As you go through the numbers on splitting
pairs, you'll see that some don't agree with those published
by Stanford Wong and other authors. As I've explained before,
some have been modified as a result of Friedman's study on risk-averse
play, and I feel they take no advantage from you yet do lower
your risk somewhat.
Basic Strategy Variations:
Double after split allowed. |
| 3,3 vs. 2 |
Hit at 0 or lower. |
(Instead of splitting.) |
| 4,4 vs. 5 |
Hit at 0 or lower. |
|
| 4,4 vs. 6 |
Hit at -2 or lower. |
|
| 6,6 vs. 2 |
Hit at -2 or lower. |
|
| 8,8 vs. 10 |
Stand at 8. |
(If the count is really high, you do stand
instead of hit.) |
| 9,9 vs. 7 |
Split at |
As always, if you have any questions, e-mail
me at
aceten1@mindspring.com
and Ill get back to you ASAP.
Next time I'll show you how test yourself
on the basic strategy variations.
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