Slots, Random Number Generators and Systems
for Sale.
GameMaster,
I have been told by numerous slot mechanics that the new (last
8 years) slots with wheels are completely computer driven.
In that I mean, that when you drop the first coin, the RNG
picks a winner or no winner, and the outcome is also based
upon how much the machine has taken in and paid out. The wheels
are just a show. There could be a video screen which said
winner and how much (it would say loser much, much more often).
Of course, the RNG will not know how many coins you put in,
so you always play max coins. If this is true, how is the
algorithm set? The slots are set to winning percentages by
the Hotel. How does this equate to random when the house can
set the machine to pay?
Please explain, as I am very perplexed. I used to love the
slots, but now I can hardly get payouts. Its like the casinos
moved the good slots away.
Thanks,
Sid..
Dear Sid,
What you say about slots is true; the RNG (Random Number Generator)
chooses the combination when the first coin goes in, but extra
coins played will multiply the win IF a winning combination
has been selected.
As for the percentage payoff, it is established over
a series of spins, say 1,000,000. What that means is that
for 1,000,000 spins, the payback will total 85% of all the
money put in, but within that series, there could be several
very large 'wins' back-to-back, or they might occur 50,000
spins apart or ...? The only thing the casino knows for sure
is that over time, they'll keep 15% of all the money put in;
in the space of 1000 spins, almost anything can happen. They
accept that risk as part of the game, plus it makes machines
appear to be 'hot' and they love that.
I urge you to consider switching from slots to video
poker where, for the most part, payouts are higher and far
more predictable, since in VP there are far fewer combinations
which can come up.
GameMaster,
You recently answered an interesting question regarding when
one should invest in a nickel video poker machine. The writer
asked about playing a vp nickel machine with a jackpot over
$900 ... you advised it was a good bet.
I'm curious. I always asssumed the vig on a nickel machine,
slot or vp, was outrageous and too high to mess with ... am
I wrong? When should I play with a nickel vp machine (aside
from the obvious "when you're nearly broke!")
Thanks,
Chase
Dear Chase,
One cannot lump nickel video poker machines together with
nickel slots regarding payouts, since the return on a VP machine
can be determined by the payout schedule; that's not the case
with a slot where, as you say, the 'vig' is usually outrageous.
The writer of the question to which you refer did not tell
me what format the machine was, but as I stated in my answer,
if it was an 8/5 format, the $900 jackpot made for profitable
play. To see how that works, look at the Video Poker page
of our site.
As to when you can play 5-cent VP machines, do so when
the payback is at 100% or more; they will usually be progressives.
For example, on an 8/5 Jacks or Better machine, it's when
the royal is at least $475. Such situations are rare but they
do exist, especially in a competitive market like Vegas.
GameMaster,
My question is regarding the payoff schedule of an internet
sportsbook.
They pay 1.98 of your original bet. The 1.00 is to get your
original bet back and the .98 takes 2% of your win. In addition,
they then charge 10% if you win (not if you lose, like most
books). So an example would be if I bet $100 on the Bulls
to win, the payoff would be as follows:
$100 X 1.98 = $198 total win
$198 - $19.80 = $178 I get back on my account.
Had I lost they would have just taken the $100 without juice.
IS THIS A GOOD DEAL OR AM I REALLY TAKING IT ON THE CHIN?
I appreciate your help in this matter.
Best,
Skip
Dear Skip,
Let's examine an entire transaction to demonstrate how to
figure the 'vig' that the book is charging. In a 'normal'
book, two opposite bettors each risk $110 in order for one
of them to win $210. Follow me on this? Bettor A chose the
Bulls and put up $110 to win $100. Bettor B chose the Jazz,
put up $110 and lost. Player A gets the $110 + $100 back,
the book keeps $10 and the vig. is $10 divided by $220 (the
total amount of the transaction) or 4.54%.
In your case, you bet $100 on the Bulls and someone else
bet $100 on the Jazz. You won $78, plus got your $100 bet
back. The book kept $22 of a $200 transaction or 11%. Not
a good deal, though you are risking less money in those situations
where you are wrong.
Let's look at it in the case of a season of football
where you bet 15 of the games and, because you follow the
sage advice of "Real Ralphies" handicappers, you win 9 games.
At a 'normal' book, you'd bet 15 X $110 or $1650. Your return
would be 9 X $210 or $1890 for a net profit of $240 which
is 14.5% of the monies bet.
At this book you're dealing wih now, you'd bet a total
of $100 X 15 or $1500 and would get back 9 X $100 X 1.98 =
$1782 minus $178.20 or 1603.80 for a net profit of $103.80
which is 6.92% of the monies bet.
Conclusion? This book is charging you too much vig.
GameMaster,
While in Vegas over this past holiday weekend, I happened
onto a double deck game at the Casino Royale on the Strip.
There were only three of us on the table...an obvious card
counter, another woman and myself. The pit boss(es) stood
right behind the dealer(s) 90 percent of the time.
The deck was shuffled after every 3 hands...or sooner if
the counter upped his bet too much.
And yet we were all still making good money.
The pit boss whispered to the dealer (being at first base
I could hear this) to stop stripping out the cards. To his
credit, the dealer 'forgot' to do this.
What difference would this have made?
Thanks for the reply in advance.
AMS
Dear AMS,
'Stripping' is an action that a dealer may use in between
'riffles' of the deck which essentially reverses the order
of the cards. I am unaware of that action being either good
or bad; my opinion is that the pit critter thought he'd make
a difference in the win at the table, but -- like most in
the business -- he doesn't know much about card counting.
If stripping or not stripping made a real difference, then
every casino would do it. The real effective move was the
shallow penetration he was enforcing.
However, if that counter was smart, he was upping his
bet when the count moved in favor of the house. That action
forced the dealer to shuffle away 'bad' decks but, by flat-betting,
the counter would keep the 'good' counts around a little longer.
That brings us to The GameMaster's "First Law of Blackjack
Physics": For every countermeasure introduced by the casino,
we will develop an equal, but opposite reaction.
GameMaster,
What about buying some of the roulette or craps systems for
sale, testing them, and publish your findings and evaluations
in the magazine? I think that would be very interesting, cause
I see quite a few systems for sale, and wouldn't mind buying
one of them if I knew they worked. "If" is the operative word
here!
Thanks,
Jim
Dear Jim,
We don't do that, since none of them work. There is no system
which can consistently overcome the house edge in roulette
or craps. It's like you and I tossing a coin. You pay me $1
when it comes up heads and I'll pay you 95 cents when it comes
up tails. You may get ahead of me for a while, but in the
long run I'll win.
Always remember "The GameMaster's Final Argument" - If
these systems really worked, the guy who 'invented' it would
be in the casino using it, and wouldn't be trying to sell
it to you.
Hot Tip of the Month:
At a Deuces Wild game, I often see players hold 2 pairs that
are dealt to them. Remember, since the game pays only for
trips or better, you should hold just one pair, unless the
payoff on a Full House is 20 for 5 or more. Which pair should
you keep? It doesn't matter, even if one is a high pair and
the other is a low pair.
-the GameMaster
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